For those of you who didn't see the polling memo that the Ryun campaign released on the Ryun-Jenkins head to head matchup, here are some more bullet points (warning, this polling memo came from Ryun's pollster, so they are only releasing the most favorable numbers, my comments follow each point):
Name ID - Ryun 92% - Jenkins 41% - My take on this is while Jenkins has a lot of room to go up and Ryun is tapped out, Jenkins just last November was elected to her second term in statewide office.
In Topeka - Ryun 54% - Jenkins 36% - My take on this is that Jenkins was in the legislature from and is best known in Topeka - a place with more moderate Republicans than most places in the district - but she still isn't winning there.
Among those who have a favorable opinion of Jenkins, she leads 50-43% - My take on this is first, a positive for Jenkins, she has room to win if she gets more well known around the district. On the down side for Jenkins, she is only winning by 7% among those who have a favorable opinion of her while Ryun leads 81% to 12% among those who have a favorable opinion of him.
As I said in my previous post, this poll does mean something, particularly as it relates to Ryun's residual favorables among likely Republican voters. In considering the polling memo, it also shows his relative strength with the people who know Lynn Jenkins best. However, 14 months is an eternity in politics and Jenkins has a lot of upside potential. We'll have to wait and see if she can capitalize on that potential.
Dedicated to the proposition that Nancy Boyda is a one termer.